The Tony Awards are being given out this Sunday, and here are Hypable’s predictions for who will win each category.

This has been a fantastic season for plays, full of new works that captured viewers’ imaginations. The plays have been so good, Hypable is actually predicting the play categories along with the musical ones this year!

Most of the best works came here by way of London, so the Olivier Awards assisted with prognosticating. Look for The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-time to repeat its record-breaking sweep of the 2013 Oliviers as it takes home most major prizes. But there are plenty of worthy shows to pick up the scraps, including the sole American show that’s a real contender, Hand to God.

In fact, the plays are far more exciting than the musicals this year, where the Tonys have created a complete mess. They have completely shut out some of the best shows of the season – yes, we’re still bitter about Finding Neverland – and instead rewarded utter dreck.

It has been this writer’s misfortune to sit through the likes of Fun Home and The Visit – if only an intermission had offered a chance of escape! We couldn’t bring ourselves to sit through An American in Paris, though by all accounts it’s nothing to write home about.

The only hope for a successful Tonys is if Something Rotten! sweeps, so fingers crossed. Prognosticating this year was made extra difficult by the other theatre awards being inapplicable: Fun Home was in contention last year for them during its off-Broadway run, while Hamilton swept the awards this year but isn’t in contention for Tonys. So, we did our best, and offer analysis and predictions category by category, starting with the big ones.

Best Musical:

An American in Paris 
Fun Home
Something Rotten!
The Visit

This category is a disaster if there’s ever been one. The only remotely appealing contender is Something Rotten!, which we can only hope emerges triumphant on Tony night. At the moment, An American in Paris has the most momentum, having won the OCC and the Drama League, so look for those two shows to battle it out. If the Tony voters want to pat themselves on the back for rewarding a musical about lesbians, Fun Home could get the award, as it got the OCC for its off-Broadway run last year. On the other hand, if Tony voters are feeling sentimental towards Chita Rivera and Kander and Ebb, there is a minute chance The Visit gets it. In any event, we’re still grousing over Finding Neverland’s exclusion.

Will Win: Something Rotten!

Might Win: An American in Paris

Should Win: Something Rotten!

Best Revival of a Musical:

The King and I
On the Town
On the 20th Century

This category is a fairly easy one to predict: The King and I has won the OCC, Drama Desk, and Drama League, leaving only the Tony missing for a complete set. It’s a favorite show of the Tony voters, having won Best Revival in its last incarnation as well. Having been unable to procure tickets to the show pre-Tonys, this writer can’t speak to its merits, but is rooting for On the Twentieth Century. That show was one of the funniest productions to ever grace Broadway and is excellent in every aspect, from the actors to the design elements, and could pull off an upset. It’s fine as long as On the Town doesn’t win – a three-hour bore that stole the spot of Side Show.

Will Win: The King and I

Might Win: On the Twentieth Century

Should Win: The King and I

Best Play:

The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Disgraced
Hand to God
Wolf Hall Parts One & Two

Four excellent and thought-provoking pieces of theater are vying for the top non-musical prize… but Curious Incident will walk away with the prize and cap off a night of many triumphs, as it did in London two years ago. It won the OCC, Drama Desk, Drama League, Olivier, and probably any other theater prize in existence. Its closest competition is Hand to God, which is certainly the edgy American alternative to Curious Incident.

Will Win: The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Might Win: Hand to God

Should Win: Curious Incident

Best Revival of a Play:

The Elephant Man
Skylight
This Is Our Youth
You Can’t Take It With You

This is a fascinating category – only one of the four shows is still running. Will Tony voters’ short memories make that the default champion? Perhaps, but Skylight shouldn’t count its chickens just yet. The Elephant Man is a contender, having been well-liked and broken box office records during its run, as well as gotten the Drama Desk. But in one of the pleasant surprises of an immensely frustrating season, another show has emerged as the frontrunner: You Can’t Take It With You.

The show opened way back in the fall (a.k.a. “forever ago” by Tony standards), was well-liked without ever becoming a super-hot ticket, and quietly closed in February. But then all the awards bodies remembered You Can’t… and heaped honors on it. The show has walked away with the OCC and the Drama League Awards. Barring an upset, look for it to continue its winning streak on Tony night.

Will Win: You Can’t Take It With You

Might Win: Skylight

Should Win: You Can’t Take It With You